Market
What will be the Supreme Court's decision on the TikTok sale law by January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Overturn the law • 25%
Uphold the law • 25%
Delay enforcement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Supreme Court ruling or official announcements from the court.
Story
Supreme Court Weighs TikTok Ban Amid Free Speech, Security Clash
Jan 9, 2025, 07:52 PM
The US Supreme Court is set to hear oral arguments on Friday, January 10, 2025, over a federal law passed in April 2024 requiring TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to be sold by January 19 or face a ban in the United States due to national security concerns. TikTok, used by approximately 170 million Americans, has announced that it plans to shut down its US operations on January 19 unless the Supreme Court overturns or delays the law requiring its sale. The company is challenging the law, citing free speech rights under the First Amendment. The case presents a collision between national security concerns and free speech, and its outcome could have significant implications for the social media landscape and the First Amendment.
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Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Injunction denied • 25%
Injunction granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Strike down the law • 33%
Modify the law • 34%
Uphold the law • 33%
Delay decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Uphold divestment law • 25%
Strike down divestment law • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Government wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban blocked temporarily • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Delay granted • 25%
Decision deferred • 34%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban enforced • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%