Market
What will be the Supreme Court's decision on the TikTok ban by January 19, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Decision delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked temporarily • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban blocked • 25%
Official announcement from the Supreme Court or major news outlets.
Story
TikTok to Shut Down US App on January 19 Unless Supreme Court Blocks Federal Ban
Jan 15, 2025, 11:30 AM
TikTok plans to shut down its app for US users on Sunday, January 19th, when a federal ban on the social media app is set to take effect, unless the Supreme Court intervenes to block it. Users who already have the app installed will not be able to use it and will be redirected to a website providing details about the ban and given the option to download their data. An abrupt switch-off is planned to bring home the impact of the ban to all users. A decision from the Supreme Court is expected this week.
View original story
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Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban delayed • 34%
Enforce Ban • 25%
Remand to Lower Court • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Delay Ban • 25%
Overturn ban completely • 34%
Uphold ban starting Jan 19, 2025 • 33%
Pause ban until Jan 20, 2025 • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban paused • 33%
Negotiated settlement reached • 34%
Case dismissed • 34%
Delay denied • 33%
Delay granted • 33%
Partial ruling • 34%
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban overturned • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Ban modified • 25%