Market
What will be the primary reason cited by Poland for the wall construction by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Migration control • 25%
National security • 25%
Hybrid war deterrence • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from the Polish government or official policy documents
Story
Poland's Maciej Duszczyk Announces 418 km Wall by Mid-2025 to Seal Border with Belarus Amid 'Hybrid War' Concerns
Dec 29, 2024, 03:24 PM
Poland has announced plans to seal its border with Belarus by constructing a wall spanning 418 kilometers, with completion expected by mid-2025. The initiative, led by Deputy Minister for Migration Maciej Duszczyk, aims to curb the influx of migrants, which Warsaw describes as part of a 'hybrid war' orchestrated by Russia. The wall construction is part of broader security measures, including the installation of night vision and thermal imaging cameras along the border. The Polish government, under Prime Minister Donald Tusk, has emphasized the importance of national security over migration, stating that aggressive actions against the border could lead to the suspension of asylum application rights. This development reflects a shift in Poland's immigration policy, contrasting with previous years.
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Other • 25%
Private investments • 25%
European Union funding • 25%
Polish government budget • 25%
Other • 25%
Physical barriers • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Wlodzimierz Czarzasty • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Tusk • 25%
Rafal Trzaskowski • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Cultural education • 25%
Response to public demand • 25%
Other • 25%
Defense readiness • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Closure of more consulates • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Partially Utilized • 33%
Fully Utilized • 33%
Not Utilized • 34%
Russian threat • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal political pressure • 25%
NATO commitments • 25%
Health concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic reasons • 25%
National security • 25%