Market
What will be the primary focus of U.S. defense policy changes under Elbridge Colby by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
China in the Pacific • 25%
Iran containment • 25%
Russia deterrence • 25%
Other • 25%
Official policy documents and announcements from the U.S. Department of Defense
Story
Trump Nominates Elbridge Colby as Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, Emphasizing America First Approach to China and Iran
Dec 22, 2024, 10:34 PM
President Donald Trump has nominated Elbridge Colby to serve as the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy. This appointment has received widespread support from various political figures, who commend Colby's understanding of the importance of manufacturing to national defense and his advocacy for an America First foreign policy. Colby is recognized for his mission to prepare the U.S. Armed Forces for challenges posed by China in the Pacific and for opposing direct military action against Iran's nuclear program, favoring a policy of containment instead. His nomination is seen as a strategic move to enhance U.S. defense policy during critical times.
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Cybersecurity • 25%
NATO and Europe • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Indo-Pacific region • 25%
Cybersecurity initiatives • 25%
Deterrence against China • 25%
U.S. military strategy in Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Asia-Pacific Security • 25%
Middle East Security • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Personnel policies • 25%
Technological advancement • 25%
IndoPacific strategy • 25%
Military readiness • 25%
Focus on diplomatic solutions • 25%
Enhanced defense cooperation with allies • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Technology development and cyber defense • 25%
Other • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Cybersecurity initiative • 25%
Immigration policy change • 25%
Europe (including Ukraine) • 25%
Other • 25%
Middle East • 25%
Asia (including China) • 25%
Cybersecurity • 25%
Space Force • 25%
Naval Expansion • 25%
Other • 25%
Warfighting-Centric • 33%
Balanced Approach • 34%
DEI Initiatives • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Increased border security measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%