Market
What will be the political fate of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella by April 30, 2025?
2
Emmanuel Macron•François Bayrou•Bayrou•Macron•Michel Barnier•National Assembly•Gérard Larcher•Senate•Marine Le Pen•Jordan Bardella•France
Resolution / Starting Odds
Join coalition with Bayrou • 25%
Remain in opposition • 25%
Form new political alliances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official announcements from political parties or credible news outlets
Story
Macron Appoints François Bayrou as Prime Minister to Navigate 2025 Budget as France's Fourth Leader This Year
Dec 15, 2024, 12:34 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron has appointed François Bayrou as the new Prime Minister, marking the fourth individual to hold the position this year. Bayrou, a veteran centrist politician and longtime ally of Macron, is tasked with forming a new government amid a politically fractured parliament. His predecessor, Michel Barnier, resigned earlier this month, leaving Bayrou to navigate the complexities of governance without a clear majority. As part of his initial actions, Bayrou has begun consultations with key political figures, including Yaël Braun-Pivet, the President of the National Assembly, and Gérard Larcher, the President of the Senate. He is also set to meet with far-right leaders Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella on Monday, as he seeks to build a coalition capable of passing the 2025 budget, a significant challenge given the current political climate. Bayrou has expressed intentions to create a compact government featuring experienced personalities, aiming to stabilize France’s political landscape after months of turmoil.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Leader of National Rally • 25%
Candidate for Presidency • 25%
Retired • 25%
More Nationalist • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
More Moderate • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Decreased significantly • 25%
No reliable data • 25%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
Change less than 5% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Jordan Bardella • 25%
Marion Maréchal • 25%
Louis Aliot • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Sympathy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
