Market
How will Marine Le Pen's political influence change in France by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased significantly • 25%
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Remained the same • 25%
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Analysis from major political commentators and media outlets
Story
Jean-Marie Le Pen, Far-Right Icon Who Admitted to Torture, Buried Amid Tight Security at Age 96
Jan 11, 2025, 11:54 AM
Jean-Marie Le Pen, the co-founder of France's far-right National Front party, died on January 7, 2025, at the age of 96. He was laid to rest on January 11 in his hometown of La Trinité-sur-Mer. The funeral was held under heightened security, with over 100 police and gendarmerie officers deployed and a ban on public gatherings due to concerns over potential protests. Family members, including his daughter Marine Le Pen and granddaughter Marion Maréchal, attended the ceremony, conducted in the presence of close relatives and a few associates. Jean-Marie Le Pen's death prompted varied reactions across France, with some celebrating his passing, reflecting his polarizing influence on French politics. Recently published admissions revealed that in December 2019, Le Pen acknowledged participating in acts of torture during the Algerian War, stating he acted under orders.
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No Significant Change • 25%
More Moderate • 25%
More Nationalist • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate for Presidency • 25%
Retired • 25%
Other • 25%
Leader of National Rally • 25%
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Increase by 5% or more • 25%
No reliable data • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Remain in opposition • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Join coalition with Bayrou • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Uncertain • 25%
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Eric Zemmour • 25%
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Jordan Bardella • 25%
Marine Le Pen • 25%