Market
What will be the outcome regarding copycat crimes by end of 2025?
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Luigi Mangione•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•New York City•Manhattan•Alvin Bragg•New York Police Department•Mangione•Wanted
Resolution / Starting Odds
No copycat crimes reported • 25%
One copycat crime reported • 25%
Multiple copycat crimes reported • 25%
Unclear or inconclusive • 25%
Reports from the New York Police Department and major news outlets
Story
Fingerprints and Ghost Gun Link Luigi Mangione to CEO Murder as 'Wanted' Posters Surface
Dec 12, 2024, 12:58 PM
Luigi Mangione, accused of fatally shooting UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in New York City, could face additional charges according to Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg. The New York Police Department announced that a ghost gun allegedly found in Mangione's possession matched three shell casings recovered at the crime scene. Fingerprints taken from Mangione also match those on a water bottle found near the shooting scene. Authorities are investigating 'Wanted' posters featuring corporate executives, including Brian Thompson, that have been posted around Manhattan with warnings such as 'Brian Thompson was denied his claim to life. Who will be denied next?' Police are concerned about potential copycat crimes, and the killing has sparked public anger toward health insurers.
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Similar markets
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant copycat crimes • 25%
Several copycat crimes reported • 25%
Legislation passed in response • 25%
Other trends • 25%
No change in coverage • 25%
Decrease in coverage • 25%
Increase in coverage • 25%
Passed • 25%
Other • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Deferred • 25%
Robbery • 25%
Rape • 25%
Abduction • 25%
Other • 25%
Not identified • 25%
Arrested and charged • 25%
Identified but not arrested • 25%
Deceased • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Data Unavailable • 25%
Other • 25%
Motives unrelated to Fuentes • 25%
Assailant part of a larger group • 25%
Assailant acted alone • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increase in Crime • 25%
Decrease in Crime • 25%
Data Unclear • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted and sentenced to jail • 25%
Convicted but given probation • 25%