Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. manufacturers lobbying against tariffs on Mexico and Canada by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs blocked • 25%
Tariffs modified • 25%
No change • 25%
Reports from U.S. lobbying groups or legislative outcomes
Story
Trump Proposes Mexico, Canada as U.S. States, Floats Tariffs Impacting U.S. Manufacturers
Dec 8, 2024, 03:50 PM
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has proposed that Mexico and Canada should become the 51st and 52nd states of the United States. Trump cited the financial support provided by U.S. taxpayers to these neighboring countries as justification for his suggestion. He implied that if Mexico and Canada continue to receive subsidies from the U.S., they should integrate as states. Trump has also floated the idea of imposing big tariffs on Mexico and Canada, a move that could impact U.S. manufacturers caught in the middle. This proposal aligns with Trump's history of advocating for policies that prioritize U.S. economic interests.
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Similar markets
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Tariffs avoided with agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
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Temporary tariff suspension • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
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Tariffs lifted • 25%
No change • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implemented with full effect • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Tariffs avoided through negotiation • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Retaliatory Measures by Canada • 25%
U.S. Withdraws Tariffs • 25%
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Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Implemented with full effect • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
No tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs imposed by both • 25%
Tariffs imposed by Canada only • 25%
Tariffs imposed by U.S. only • 25%
Tariffs maintained • 25%
Tariffs lifted • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Minor amendments agreed • 25%
No amendments agreed • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Major amendments agreed • 25%
Tariffs delayed • 25%
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Tariffs averted through negotiation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade agreements reached • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%