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What will be the outcome of Trump's birthright citizenship proposal by January 2029?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successfully ended • 25%
No change • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements, constitutional amendments, or Supreme Court rulings
Story
Trump Plans to End Birthright Citizenship and Deport All Illegal Immigrants, Pardoning January 6 Rioters on First Day of Second Term
Dec 8, 2024, 07:51 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to end birthright citizenship, a move that would require an amendment to the U.S. Constitution. He stated his intention to implement this policy on the first day of his second term. Trump also reiterated his commitment to deport all immigrants living in the U.S. illegally during his upcoming four-year term. Legal scholars have noted that unilaterally ending birthright citizenship is nearly impossible due to constitutional constraints. Additionally, Trump indicated he would consider pardoning some individuals involved in the January 6 Capitol riots. His proposals have sparked considerable debate regarding their legality and potential impact on families and the immigration system.
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Blocked by courts • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Withdrawn by Trump • 25%
Implemented • 25%
Constitutional amendment proposed • 25%
No executive order issued • 25%
Executive order issued but struck down • 25%
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Blocked by courts • 25%
No change to birthright citizenship • 25%
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No challenge made • 25%
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No change • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
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Other outcome • 25%
Policy change not pursued • 25%
Policy change implemented • 25%
Policy change blocked by courts • 25%
Blocked by Courts • 25%
Policy Implemented • 25%
Blocked by Congress • 25%
Policy Withdrawn • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturned by Congress • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented without legal challenge • 25%
Order blocked by courts • 25%
Order overturned by Congress • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Order implemented • 25%
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Partially upheld • 25%
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