Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's 2025 anti-drug campaign?
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Donald Trump•Mexican•Turning Point USA•Phoenix•Arizona•Trump•FBI•ICE•Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•Sheinbaum
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in drug use • 25%
No significant change in drug use • 25%
Increase in drug use • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
Reports from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services or major media analysis
Story
Trump to Designate Mexican Cartels as Terrorist Organizations at Turning Point USA Event on January 20, 2025
Dec 22, 2024, 09:28 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to designate Mexican drug cartels as foreign terrorist organizations upon taking office on January 20, 2025. During a speech at a Turning Point USA forum in Phoenix, Arizona, Trump emphasized that he would expel all foreign gang members and utilize federal law enforcement agencies, including the FBI and ICE, to dismantle cartel operations. He stated, "I will immediately designate the cartels as foreign terrorist organizations" and pledged to launch an anti-drug advertising campaign to highlight the dangers of drug use. Trump's declaration has drawn a firm response from Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, who stated that Mexico will not accept interference in its affairs, asserting the country's sovereignty. Sheinbaum emphasized the importance of collaboration with the U.S. while rejecting any form of subordination.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Rehabilitation programs • 25%
Law enforcement • 25%
Public awareness • 25%
Marijuana and cannabis-related products • 25%
Fentanyl and synthetic opioids • 25%
Prescription drug abuse • 25%
Cocaine and methamphetamines • 25%
Minor tensions • 25%
Improved cooperation • 25%
Stable relations • 25%
Significant deterioration • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Rescinded by Trump • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Implemented with modifications • 25%
Passed but not implemented • 25%
Passed and implemented • 25%
Not passed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant increase in deportations • 25%
Moderate increase in deportations • 25%
Decrease in deportations • 25%
Increase in gang activity • 25%
Significant reduction in gang activity • 25%
Moderate reduction in gang activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%