Market
What will be the outcome of the Violence Against Women by Illegal Aliens Act in the Senate by April 30, 2025?
3
Republicans•Democrats•Jerry Nadler•Adam Schiff•House•Nancy Pelosi•Senate Judiciary Committee•Elon Musk
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passes without amendments • 25%
Passes with amendments • 25%
Fails in the Senate • 25%
Not voted on by deadline • 25%
Official Senate voting records
Story
U.S. House Passes Bill to Deport Undocumented Immigrants Convicted of Sex Crimes; Elon Musk Calls for Ouster of 158 Opposing Democrats
Jan 5, 2025, 12:14 PM
In September 2024, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill aimed at deporting undocumented immigrants convicted of sex crimes. The legislation, known as the Violence Against Women by Illegal Aliens Act, received support from all 215 present Republicans and 51 Democrats, but was opposed by 158 Democrats. Notable among those who voted against the bill were Representatives Jerry Nadler, Adam Schiff, and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. The bill, which has been referred to the Senate Judiciary Committee, seeks to ensure the deportation of illegal immigrants convicted of sexual offenses, as well as those who admit to or are convicted of domestic violence or sex-related charges. The vote has sparked renewed criticism on social media, with tech billionaire Elon Musk calling for the ousting of the Democrats who opposed the bill, stating that there is 'no excuse' for their stance.
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Similar markets
Pass • 33%
Fail • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Republican • 33%
Bipartisan • 34%
Democrat • 33%
Divided opinion • 25%
More supportive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Passed without filibuster • 25%
Failed for other reasons • 25%
Passed after overcoming filibuster • 25%
Failed due to filibuster • 25%
Passes • 33%
No vote taken • 34%
Fails • 33%
Passed both House and Senate • 25%
Did not pass either • 25%
Passed House only • 25%
Passed Senate only • 25%
Not voted by deadline • 25%
Pass with more than 60 votes • 25%
Pass with 51-60 votes • 25%
Fail • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Passes with majority • 25%
Tied vote • 25%
Passes with 70-79 votes • 25%
Passes with 80 or more votes • 25%
Passes with 60-69 votes • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%