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What will be the outcome of the reconciliation bill in the House by January 2025?
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Mike Johnson•Louisiana Republican•US House of Representatives•Donald Trump•Trump•Republican•Johnson•Republicans•Lindsey Graham•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Passed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Amended • 25%
Not voted • 25%
Official voting records from the US House of Representatives
Story
Mike Johnson Re-elected House Speaker with Trump's Backing, Vows to 'Dismantle Deep State' via 'Big, Beautiful' Bill
Jan 5, 2025, 03:12 PM
Mike Johnson, a Louisiana Republican, has been re-elected as Speaker of the US House of Representatives after narrowly securing the necessary votes on the first ballot, following last-minute negotiations and intervention by President-elect Donald Trump. Trump personally called Republican lawmakers to secure Johnson's re-election, highlighting Johnson's commitment to advancing Trump's agenda. Facing a paper-thin majority, Johnson plans to introduce a single comprehensive reconciliation bill—described as a "big, beautiful bill"—encompassing key priorities such as border security, mass deportations, energy deregulation, and extending the 2017 tax cuts. Johnson declared, "We're going to be dismantling the deep state all along the way." Despite concerns from some Republicans, notably Senator Lindsey Graham, who warned that holding border security hostage to tax cuts is "playing Russian roulette" with national security, Johnson is pushing forward with the combined bill strategy. With 15 days until Trump's inauguration, Johnson emphasized the urgency of advancing the agenda.
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Rejected • 25%
Passed without amendments • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passed in House and Senate • 25%
Not passed in either • 25%
Passed in House only • 25%
Passed in Senate only • 25%
Bill passes with amendments • 25%
Bill passes unchanged • 25%
Bill delayed beyond January 31, 2025 • 25%
Bill fails to pass • 25%
Passes with Republican support • 25%
Fails due to Republican opposition • 25%
Fails due to lack of bipartisan support • 25%
Passes with bipartisan support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Fails to pass • 33%
Tied vote • 34%
Passes with majority • 33%
Fails • 25%
Not voted on • 25%
Passes with majority • 25%
Passes with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Fails • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Bill passes with debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill passes without debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill fails • 25%
Alternative bill passed • 25%
Passed with bipartisan support • 25%
Failed due to lack of majority • 25%
Passed with Democratic support • 25%
Passed with Republican majority • 25%
Passes with simple majority • 25%
Fails again • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Passes with two-thirds majority • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant comment • 25%
Supportive • 25%