Market
What will be the outcome of the next Romanian presidential election by end of 2025?
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European Commission•TikTok•China•ByteDance•Romania•Digital Services Act•DSA•Russian•Supreme Court•Calin Georgescu•Ursula von der Leyen
Resolution / Starting Odds
Calin Georgescu wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
No election held • 25%
Election results annulled again • 25%
Official election results from Romanian electoral authorities
Story
EU Probes TikTok for Russian Interference in Romanian Election Supporting Calin Georgescu
Dec 17, 2024, 01:45 PM
The European Commission has initiated formal proceedings against TikTok, owned by China's ByteDance, over concerns that the platform failed to adequately address risks related to election integrity during Romania's recent presidential elections. The investigation focuses on TikTok's compliance with the Digital Services Act (DSA), particularly its handling of systemic risks associated with the elections held on November 24. The probe was prompted by allegations of Russian interference, which led to the annulment of the election results by Romania's Supreme Court. The European Commission is examining TikTok's recommendation systems and policies on political ads and paid content, following serious indications of foreign actors using the platform to influence the election outcome. The focus includes an 'aggressive promotion campaign' for candidate Calin Georgescu, involving payments totaling $381,000 to TikTok influencers. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the need to protect democracies from foreign interference.
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Another candidate wins • 25%
Election annulled again • 25%
Election indefinitely postponed • 25%
Călin Georgescu wins • 25%
Original results upheld • 25%
New election held • 25%
Georgescu disqualified • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
AUR candidate • 25%
Călin Georgescu • 25%
Hungarian Democratic Union wins majority • 25%
PSD wins majority • 25%
PNL wins majority • 25%
No single party wins majority • 25%
AUR candidate • 25%
Other party candidate • 25%
Independent candidate • 25%
PSD candidate • 25%
Candidate from PSD • 25%
Candidate from PNL • 25%
Crin Antonescu • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Election rerun with same candidates • 25%
Election rerun with new candidates • 25%
Election not rerun • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
National Liberal Party (PNL) • 25%
Hungarian minority party (UDMR) • 25%
Far-right parties • 25%
Social Democratic Party (PSD) • 25%