Market
What will be the outcome of the national emergency declaration on border security by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased border security measures • 25%
Reduction in military presence • 25%
Revocation of national emergency • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Official government statements or policy changes
Story
Trump Sends 1,500 Troops and Military Aircraft to Southern Border Amid National Emergency
Jan 22, 2025, 10:46 PM
The U.S. military is deploying thousands of additional active-duty troops to the southern border with Mexico following President Donald Trump's recent executive order declaring a national emergency. An initial wave of approximately 1,500 troops, including 500 armed Marines from Camp Pendleton and intelligence specialists, is being sent to reinforce border security and assist with deportations. The Pentagon has announced plans to potentially deploy up to 10,000 troops in the coming weeks and months. Military aircraft, including helicopters and transport planes, are being deployed to support the operation and airlift over 5,000 detained migrants. This move marks one of the largest military actions at the southwestern border in more than a century, aimed at enhancing territorial integrity and national sovereignty.
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Overturned • 33%
Modified • 34%
Upheld • 33%
Other • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Decreased illegal crossings • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
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Upheld • 25%
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Modified • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Upheld • 25%
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Overturned • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Existing policies reinforced • 25%
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Increased border security • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased legal immigration • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Increased legal challenges • 25%
Increased political opposition • 25%
Significant reduction in illegal crossings • 25%
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Significant increase • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Yes • 50%
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Construction resumes and completes • 25%
Construction resumes but does not complete • 25%
Construction does not resume • 25%