Market
What will be the outcome of the Kroger and Albertsons merger by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Merger approved after appeal • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger restructured and approved • 25%
Merger remains blocked • 25%
Official announcements from Kroger, Albertsons, or the FTC
Story
Oregon Judge Blocks Kroger's $24.6 Billion Albertsons Merger Over Antitrust Concerns
Dec 10, 2024, 09:13 PM
A federal judge in Oregon, Adrienne Nelson, has blocked Kroger's proposed $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons, ruling that the merger would lessen competition for U.S. grocery shoppers. The decision grants the Federal Trade Commission's (FTC) request for a preliminary injunction, marking a significant setback for the deal, which would have been the largest supermarket merger in U.S. history. The judge, appointed by President Biden, sided with FTC Chair Lina Khan, who argued that the merger would erode competition, raise food prices, and hurt workers.
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Merger completed • 25%
Merger revised and completed • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger blocked • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Merger proceeds after appeal • 25%
Merger is permanently blocked • 25%
Kroger withdraws merger bid • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn by companies • 25%
Approved without conditions • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Kroger gains market share • 25%
Both lose market share • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Albertsons gains market share • 25%
Both attempt mergers • 25%
Neither attempts a merger • 25%
Albertsons attempts another merger • 25%
Kroger attempts another merger • 25%
Neither attempt mergers • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Merger permanently blocked • 25%
Merger abandoned by companies • 25%
Merger approved without conditions • 25%
Merger approved with conditions • 25%
Albertsons wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Kroger wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Albertsons wins full claim • 25%
Albertsons wins partial claim • 25%
Kroger wins • 25%
Albertsons wins partial damages • 25%
Albertsons wins full damages • 25%
Albertsons wins • 25%
Kroger gains market share • 25%
Both gain market share • 25%
Neither gain market share • 25%
Albertsons gains market share • 25%
Albertsons outperforms Kroger • 25%
Both perform equally • 25%
Albertsons underperforms Kroger • 25%
Albertsons matches Kroger • 25%