Market
What will be the outcome of the Kroger-Albertsons merger attempt by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Merger proceeds after appeal • 25%
Merger is permanently blocked • 25%
Kroger withdraws merger bid • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Kroger, Albertsons, or court records
Story
Federal Judge Blocks Largest Grocery Merger: Kroger's $24.6 Billion Albertsons Deal, Siding with FTC
Dec 10, 2024, 08:40 PM
A federal judge in Oregon, Adrienne Nelson, has blocked Kroger Co.'s $24.6 billion acquisition of rival Albertsons Cos., granting the Federal Trade Commission's (FTC) motion for a preliminary injunction. The judge, appointed by President Biden, cited concerns that the merger would reduce competition and potentially raise prices for U.S. grocery shoppers. This decision marks a significant setback for the two supermarket giants and may signal the end of what would have been the largest grocery merger in U.S. history. The ruling is considered a substantial victory for the FTC and its chair, Lina Khan, reinforcing the agency's antitrust enforcement efforts. Following the announcement, Kroger's shares rose by 5.2%.
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Approved without conditions • 25%
Withdrawn by companies • 25%
Approved with conditions • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Merger remains blocked • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger approved after appeal • 25%
Merger restructured and approved • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger revised and completed • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Merger blocked • 25%
Merger abandoned by companies • 25%
Merger permanently blocked • 25%
Merger approved without conditions • 25%
Merger approved with conditions • 25%
Kroger attempts another merger • 25%
Neither attempt mergers • 25%
Albertsons attempts another merger • 25%
Neither attempts a merger • 25%
Both attempt mergers • 25%
Appeal is unsuccessful • 25%
Other legal or regulatory outcome • 25%
Appeal successfully overturns the decision • 25%
Kroger withdraws from the deal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Kroger wins • 25%
Albertsons wins • 25%
Albertsons wins • 25%
Albertsons wins partial claim • 25%
Albertsons wins full damages • 25%
Albertsons wins partial damages • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Albertsons wins full claim • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Kroger wins • 25%