Market
What will be the outcome of the Israeli cabinet meeting on Jerusalem and West Bank security by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security measures in Jerusalem • 25%
Increased military presence in the West Bank • 25%
Both actions implemented • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli cabinet or government
Story
Israeli Authorities Heighten Security on Highway 1 in Jerusalem Amid Ongoing Investigation of Two Armed Individuals
Dec 15, 2024, 12:11 PM
Israeli authorities have heightened security measures in Jerusalem following reports of a potential terror threat. Security forces are on high alert due to intelligence indicating that two armed individuals were traveling in a Land Cruiser. Roadblocks have been established along Highway 1, and police have deployed special units, including the Shin Bet's counterterrorism team, to search for the suspects. Despite the arrest of one individual, authorities continue to search for additional suspects, indicating that the situation remains unresolved. Reports suggest that the security situation in the West Bank is precarious, with fears of rapid destabilization of the Palestinian Authority. The Israeli cabinet is convening to discuss the increasingly volatile conditions in the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Decision Deferred • 25%
Deal Rejected • 25%
Deal Approved • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Postponed • 34%
Approved • 33%
Delayed • 25%
Approved • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Modified • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Curfews imposed • 25%
Increased checkpoints • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Rejection of ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Approval of ceasefire • 25%
Postponement for further negotiation • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Suspects captured • 25%
Threat neutralized without capture • 25%
Significant setbacks for Israel • 25%
Complete victory over Iran and proxies • 25%
Partial victory with ongoing conflicts • 25%
Stalemate with no clear victor • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%