Market
Outcome of Yoon Suk Yeol's arrest by December 31, 2025?
3
South Korea•Yoon Suk Yeol•Capital Defense Command•Special Warfare Command•Intelligence Command•Defense Ministry
Resolution / Starting Odds
Released without charges • 25%
Convicted and sentenced • 25%
Ongoing trial • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Official announcements from South Korean judicial authorities or major news outlets
Story
South Korea Dismisses Four Military Commanders Over December 3 Martial Law Declaration Amid Yoon Suk Yeol's Arrest
Jan 20, 2025, 10:01 AM
South Korea has dismissed four senior military commanders in connection with the declaration of martial law during the brief administration of impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol, who is currently under arrest. The commanders include the head of the Army's Counterintelligence Command, the Commander of the Capital Defense Command, the Commander of the Special Warfare Command, and the Commander of the Intelligence Command. The dismissals were confirmed amid ongoing scrutiny of the military's actions during the emergency measures implemented on December 3. The court recently acquitted Colonel Park Jeong-hoon, who had refused to follow illegal orders during the coup, raising questions about the Defense Ministry's role in the situation.
View original story
Similar markets
Warrant remains unresolved • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol arrested • 25%
Warrant revoked • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol flees the country • 25%
New legal action delays arrest • 25%
Warrant expires without arrest • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction on all charges • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Acquittal on all charges • 25%
Conviction on some charges • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Formally charged and released on bail • 25%
Formally charged and detained • 25%
Released without charge • 25%
Charged with lesser offenses • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charged with treason • 25%
Cleared of all charges • 25%
Arrest attempt failed • 25%
Warrant withdrawn • 25%
No attempt made • 25%
Arrest executed successfully • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Convicted with imprisonment • 25%
Convicted with death penalty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
