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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Azerbaijan Airlines plane downing by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Human error • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Intentional attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or credible news outlets
Story
Azerbaijan Says Russia to Punish Those Who Shot Down Plane in Kazakhstan, Killing 38
Dec 30, 2024, 11:23 AM
Azerbaijan announced that Russia has promised to identify and punish those responsible for the downing of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane. The aircraft, which crashed on December 25 in Kazakhstan, was allegedly shot at by Russian air defenses before crash landing. President Ilham Aliyev claims that the plane was mistakenly targeted by Russian air defenses. The incident resulted in the deaths of 38 people. Azerbaijan's General Prosecutor stated that Moscow has committed to finding and holding accountable those involved in the crash.
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Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Identified individuals and legal action taken • 25%
Identified individuals but no legal action • 25%
No individuals identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
External interference • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia admits guilt • 25%
Russia denies involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Joint responsibility acknowledged • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%