Market
What will be the outcome of the December 14, 2024 impeachment vote for Yoon Suk Yeol?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Official announcement by the South Korean National Assembly
Story
South Korea's Yoon Faces Impeachment Vote Saturday; Police Mull Arrest Warrant Over Martial Law Order
Dec 13, 2024, 04:49 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol faces intense political pressure as opposition lawmakers prepare for a second impeachment vote over his short-lived declaration of martial law last week. The impeachment vote is scheduled for 5 p.m. Saturday, with increasing numbers of ruling party lawmakers expressing support for the motion. Yoon declared martial law following corruption allegations, leading to widespread protests and clashes with police near his residence. The president's approval rating has plummeted to its lowest level since taking office, and investigations have been launched into his actions, including alleged orders to arrest opposition figures. Police are considering issuing an arrest warrant for Yoon. Military commanders and cabinet ministers involved also face criminal investigations. Opposition leader Lee Jae-myung has called impeachment the best way to restore order in the country. Yoon has vowed to 'fight to the end' despite the mounting pressure.
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Vote Postponed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Vote Cancelled • 25%
Tied or inconclusive result • 25%
Passes with required 200 votes • 25%
Fails with less than 200 votes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Rejected • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not impeached • 33%
Vote postponed • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 25%
Impeachment Motion Fails • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Impeachment Motion Passes • 25%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment passed • 33%
Impeachment failed • 33%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeached • 33%