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What will be the outcome of the EU's diplomatic mission to Syria by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful re-engagement • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Mission failure • 25%
Official EU reports or press releases detailing the mission's outcomes
Story
France and EU Send Diplomats to Re-engage with Syria's New Leadership
Dec 15, 2024, 06:45 PM
France and the European Union are set to re-engage with Syria following the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime. Acting French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot announced that a French diplomatic mission, consisting of four diplomats, will visit Damascus on Tuesday, marking the first such visit in 12 years. The mission's objectives include re-establishing contact with the new Syrian leadership, assessing the humanitarian needs of the local population, and taking back possession of French diplomatic properties. This move comes after a week of upheaval in Syria, where an insurgent coalition led by the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) overthrew Assad. Meanwhile, EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has instructed the bloc's top diplomat for Syria to go to Damascus to communicate with the new government, emphasizing the need for a peaceful and inclusive transition. The EU's engagement aims to support a political process that ensures the rights of all Syrians and prevents the country from becoming a breeding ground for terrorism.
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Humanitarian aid agreement only • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Full diplomatic relations established • 25%
No significant agreements • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Successful political transition • 25%
Stalemate with no significant progress • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
Establish diplomatic relations • 25%
Impose new sanctions • 25%
Provide economic aid • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Peacekeeping mission • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Other diplomatic action • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military intervention • 25%
Political stability • 25%
Security issues • 25%
Economic opportunities • 25%
Human rights concerns • 25%
Humanitarian aid increase • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
