Market
What will be the outcome of the ERA legal debate by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
ERA Ratified • 25%
ERA Not Ratified • 25%
Further Legal Action Required • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official legal rulings or constitutional amendments
Story
Biden Declares Equal Rights Amendment Ratified, Citing Three States' Approvals After 50 Years of Support
Jan 17, 2025, 02:57 PM
President Joe Biden has announced his belief that the Equal Rights Amendment (ERA) should be considered a ratified addition to the U.S. Constitution. This declaration comes shortly before he leaves office and follows recent approvals of the amendment by three states, which Biden argues fulfills the necessary requirements for ratification. While he has long supported the ERA, stating that no one should face discrimination based on sex, White House officials clarified that he does not have a formal role in the ratification process and is not directing the archivist to take action on this matter. The archivist has indicated that Congress must act for the amendment to be formally published, placing Biden's announcement in the context of an ongoing legal and constitutional debate regarding gender equality.
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Similar markets
ERA recognized as ratified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Further action required by Congress • 25%
ERA not recognized as ratified • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
Partial recognition with conditions • 25%
No decision made • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
Further legal proceedings required • 25%
No ruling • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ERA recognized as 28th Amendment • 25%
ERA not recognized • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
No significant development • 25%
Presidential authority affirmed • 25%
Mixed opinions with no consensus • 25%
Presidential authority denied • 25%
ERA ratification delayed • 25%
ERA ratified and implemented • 25%
ERA declared unconstitutional • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ERA is not validly ratified • 25%
ERA is validly ratified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
ERA upheld • 25%
ERA rejected • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Congressional action • 25%
State-level actions • 25%
No major developments • 25%
State Governments • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. Congress • 25%
Federal Courts • 25%
Majority support for ERA • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority opposition to ERA • 25%