Market
What will be the outcome of Serge Atlaoui's repatriation request by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Repatriated to France • 25%
Granted clemency in Indonesia • 25%
Remains on death row in Indonesia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the French or Indonesian government, or international news outlets
Story
France Requests Repatriation of Death Row Inmate Serge Atlaoui, Sentenced to Death for Drug Trafficking Since 2005
Dec 28, 2024, 05:01 AM
France has officially requested the repatriation of Serge Atlaoui, a French citizen sentenced to death in Indonesia. This request was confirmed by various sources, including French media and government statements. Atlaoui has been imprisoned in Indonesia since 2005 for drug trafficking, a charge he has consistently denied. The French government is seeking to bring him back to France as part of their diplomatic efforts regarding his case.
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Charged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Released without charge • 25%
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Partial success, new elections ordered • 25%
Appeal unsuccessful, annulment upheld • 25%
Appeal withdrawn or not pursued • 25%
Extradited to UK • 25%
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Pending Decision • 34%
Rejected • 33%
Accepted • 33%
Appeal accepted • 33%
Appeal rejected • 33%
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Conviction upheld • 25%
Case sent back to French courts • 25%
Sentence increased • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
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Sentence upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Appeal rejected • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
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Conviction for attempted murder • 25%
Case dismissed due to mental health • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Sentence increased • 34%
Sentence upheld • 33%
Sentence reduced • 33%
