Market
What will be the outcome of Qatar-UK efforts in Gaza by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international aid organizations and news reports from reputable outlets
Story
Qatar-UK Call for Gaza Ceasefire as U.S. Engages with Trump's Team
Dec 7, 2024, 08:13 AM
Qatar's Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani has expressed concerns over the ongoing conflict in Gaza, highlighting the need for a ceasefire and a sustainable peace. During a speech at the Doha Forum, he described the situation in Gaza as a 'violent vortex' and an unprecedented humanitarian crisis, warning that the continuation of the crisis could have serious repercussions for regional security. Al Thani emphasized the importance of innovative approaches to end the violence and establish lasting peace. A Qatar-UK joint statement called for an immediate and permanent ceasefire in Gaza, and the U.S. State Department and the White House have expressed support for these efforts, with the White House stating that they are in communication with President-elect Trump's team regarding the situation.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Primary mediator • 25%
Withdraws from mediation • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Secondary mediator • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Aid partially delivered • 25%
No significant aid delivered • 25%
Aid delivery disrupted • 25%
Aid successfully delivered • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Egypt plays major role • 25%
Neither plays a major role • 25%
Both play equal roles • 25%
Qatar plays major role • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant role • 25%
Major facilitator • 25%
Minor facilitator • 25%
Role disputed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
