Market
What will be the outcome of Pete Hegseth's initiatives to 'restore the warrior ethos' by the end of 2025?
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Pete Hegseth•Fox News•Army•United States•Senate•Republican•Mitch McConnell•Susan Collins•Lisa Murkowski•Democrats•Hegseth
Resolution / Starting Odds
Widely successful • 25%
Partially successful • 25%
Not successful • 25%
No significant initiatives • 25%
Official military assessments or credible news reports
Story
VP Vance Breaks Tie as Senate Confirms Ex-Fox Host Pete Hegseth as Defense Secretary
Jan 25, 2025, 03:36 PM
Pete Hegseth, a former Fox News host and Army veteran, was confirmed as the United States Secretary of Defense after a historic narrow vote in the Senate, with Vice President J.D. Vance breaking a 50-50 tie. Three Republican senators—Mitch McConnell, Susan Collins, and Lisa Murkowski—joined all Democrats in opposing his nomination, citing concerns over allegations of sexual misconduct, alcohol abuse, and lack of experience. Accompanied by his wife and seven children, Hegseth was sworn in and emphasized his mission of 'achieving peace through strength.' In his address, he stressed the importance of restoring the warrior ethos, rebuilding the military, and reestablishing deterrence. He stated: 'We don't want to fight wars. We want to deter them... But if we need to fight them, we're going to bring overwhelming and decisive force to close with and destroy the enemy and bring our boys home.' Lawmakers and officials offered mixed reactions, with some praising his appointment and others expressing deep concern over his qualifications.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Partially implemented • 25%
Successfully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Reversed or rescinded • 25%
Increased Budget • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Strategy Overhaul • 25%
New Technology • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 33%
Maintains current stance • 25%
Other • 25%
No comment • 25%
Modifies stance • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Increased focus on 'warrior culture' • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Major policy shift on women in combat • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Pending • 25%
Veterans Affairs • 25%
Military Spending • 25%
Other • 25%
International Alliances • 25%
Political support • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Misconduct allegations • 25%
More Innovative Technologies • 25%
Focus on Lethality • 25%
No Major Shifts • 25%
More Traditional Equipment • 25%