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What will be the outcome of Nvidia-U.S. government negotiations on 'AI Diffusion' by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Nvidia concedes • 25%
U.S. government concedes • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Official announcements from Nvidia or the U.S. government
Story
Nvidia Criticizes Biden's 'AI Diffusion' Export Restrictions, Praises Trump's Approach
Jan 14, 2025, 02:13 PM
In its last days in office, the Biden administration has introduced new export restrictions on advanced AI chips, known as the 'AI Diffusion' rule, aiming to limit access by certain countries, including China. Nvidia, a leading AI chip manufacturer, criticized the new regulations as 'misguided,' warning that they could 'threaten to derail innovation and economic growth worldwide' and 'undermine America's leadership' in artificial intelligence. Nvidia's vice president of government affairs, Ned Finkle, expressed concern over the impact of the rule on the U.S. technology sector and praised the Trump administration's hands-off approach to the tech industry.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Deal reversal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Tensions de-escalate • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
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Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Nvidia fined • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
Nvidia required to divest assets • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Operational changes required • 25%
Financial penalties imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Stricter export controls • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Relaxed export controls • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fine imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Other stance • 25%
Supportive of policies • 25%
Opposed to policies • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%