Market
What will be the outcome of legislative actions based on task force recommendations by end of 2025?
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House Task Force•Donald Trump•Trump•September 15•Butler•Pennsylvania•Secret Service•Department of Homeland Security•FBI•ATF•Daniel Webster•Laurel Lee
Resolution / Starting Odds
Comprehensive Reform Bill Passed • 25%
Partial Reforms Implemented • 25%
No Legislative Action Taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Congressional records or official legislative documents
Story
House Task Force Urges 37 Secret Service Reforms After Preventable Trump Assassination Attempt
Dec 10, 2024, 08:57 PM
The bipartisan House Task Force investigating the assassination attempts against President-elect Donald Trump released its final report on Tuesday, concluding that the attacks were preventable and resulted from significant failures in planning, execution, and leadership by the U.S. Secret Service and other federal agencies. The report determined that various systemic shortcomings—not a single moment—created an environment that allowed an armed gunman to nearly assassinate Trump during a September 15 incident near Butler, Pennsylvania. Among its 37 policy recommendations, the task force urged reforms including narrowing the Secret Service's mission, removing it from the Department of Homeland Security, recording all radio transmissions, and limiting the protection of foreign leaders during the campaign season to focus on U.S. officials. The report also criticized agencies such as the Department of Homeland Security, Secret Service, FBI, and ATF for security failures and for stonewalling the investigation. Lawmakers involved, including Rep. Daniel Webster and Rep. Laurel Lee, expressed commitment to implementing the recommended changes to ensure such events do not happen again.
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ATF • 25%
Secret Service • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
FBI • 25%
Calls for leadership changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Recommendations for policy changes • 25%
No major findings • 25%
Passed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Pending • 34%
No legislative action • 25%
New regulations on vaccine transparency • 25%
Investigations into pharmaceutical companies • 25%
Other • 25%
Passed by Congress • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Implemented without Congress • 25%
Rejected by Congress • 25%
Neither • 25%
Ban on ads • 25%
Increased transparency • 25%
Both • 25%
Formal reprimand issued • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Amended • 25%
Passed • 25%
No decision • 25%
Passes with majority • 25%
Fails • 25%
Passes with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Not voted on • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Not voted on • 25%
Passed without amendments • 25%
Did not pass either • 25%
Passed Senate only • 25%
Passed House only • 25%
Passed both House and Senate • 25%
Not passed • 25%
Passed only in Senate • 25%
Passed both Houses • 25%
Passed only in House • 25%