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What will be the outcome of Israel's demand for UNRWA to cease operations in Jerusalem by January 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UNRWA ceases operations • 25%
UNRWA continues operations • 25%
Operations partially cease • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from UNRWA, Israeli government, or verified news reports
Story
Israel's Danny Danon Demands UNRWA Cease Operations and Evacuate Jerusalem by January 30
Jan 24, 2025, 09:07 PM
Israel's envoy to the United Nations, Danny Danon, has demanded that the UN Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) cease its operations in Jerusalem and evacuate all premises in the city by January 30, 2025. This directive was communicated through a letter to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres. The move comes as part of Israel's ongoing efforts to address the operations of UNRWA within its territory.
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UNRWA partially reduces operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
UNRWA continues operations unchanged • 25%
UNRWA ceases operations completely • 25%
Ban fully enforced • 25%
Partial enforcement • 25%
Ban not enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
UNRWA and Israel reach a compromise • 25%
UNRWA ceases operations completely • 25%
UNRWA relocates operations outside Jerusalem • 25%
UNRWA continues operations in defiance of the order • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
EU sanctions on Israel • 25%
US diplomatic efforts • 25%
No major response • 25%
Mediation or negotiation efforts • 25%
Increased funding or support for UNRWA • 25%
Condemnation and calls for reversal • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%