Market
Outcome of Israel's directive for UNRWA in Jerusalem by March 31, 2025
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Israel•UNRWA•Jerusalem•Israeli Knesset•United Nations•Danny Danon•Antonio Guterres•Hamas•Palestinians
Resolution / Starting Odds
UNRWA ceases operations completely • 25%
UNRWA partially reduces operations • 25%
UNRWA continues operations unchanged • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from UNRWA, Israeli government, and UN, verified by major news outlets
Story
Israel Orders UNRWA to Cease Operations in Jerusalem by January 30 Amid Hamas Infiltration Claims
Jan 24, 2025, 09:33 PM
Israel has demanded that the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) cease its operations in Jerusalem and evacuate all premises by January 30, 2025. This directive follows recent legislation passed by the Israeli Knesset, which terminates Israel's agreements with UNRWA and cites national security concerns. Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, formally notified U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres of the decision, emphasizing the infiltration of UNRWA by Hamas and other terrorist organizations as a significant security risk. The move has raised concerns about the future of humanitarian aid for Palestinians, as UNRWA plays a crucial role in providing services such as education and healthcare due to its alleged ties with Hamas.
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Operations partially cease • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
UNRWA ceases operations • 25%
UNRWA continues operations • 25%
UNRWA and Israel reach a compromise • 25%
UNRWA relocates operations outside Jerusalem • 25%
UNRWA ceases operations completely • 25%
UNRWA continues operations in defiance of the order • 25%
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Partial enforcement • 25%
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UNRWA found guilty of some allegations • 25%
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