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What will be the outcome of France's enhanced isolation policy by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully Implemented • 25%
Partially Implemented • 25%
Not Implemented • 25%
Policy Reversed • 25%
Reports from the French Ministry of Justice or credible news outlets
Story
France's Justice Minister Proposes Enhanced Isolation for 100 Top Drug Traffickers, Inspired by Terrorist Measures
Dec 28, 2024, 07:30 PM
France's newly appointed Justice Minister, Gérald Darmanin, has outlined plans to implement enhanced isolation measures for the country's top drug traffickers in prisons. In an interview with Le Parisien, Darmanin expressed his intention to isolate the '100 most significant drug traffickers' in a manner inspired by the treatment of major terrorists, aiming to prevent them from continuing their criminal activities from behind bars. This comes as France grapples with prison overcrowding, currently housing 82,000 inmates in facilities designed for 60,000, resulting in a 30% overcrowding rate. Additionally, Darmanin has called for the construction of new prisons to accommodate short-term sentences, aiming to address the issues of organized crime, prison overcrowding, and judicial delays. He emphasized the need for a more 'firm and rapid' justice system, and also mentioned plans for 'place nette' operations to 'clean up' prisons by restricting access to mobile phones and considering technical solutions to block mobile networks within prison facilities.
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Worsening situation • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partially Implemented • 25%
Fully Implemented • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Not Implemented • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Stronger diplomatic ties • 25%
Increased economic investment • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Other • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Mostly opposed • 25%
Another interim budget measure • 34%
2024 budget extension continues • 33%
New budget adopted • 33%
Other outcome • 25%
Government makes significant concessions • 25%
Government faces a successful motion of censure • 25%
Government survives without changes • 25%
Improved • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Mixed • 25%
All 100 isolated • 25%
Less than 50 isolated • 25%
50-74 isolated • 25%
75-99 isolated • 25%