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What will be the outcome of Denmark's €2 billion Arctic military investment by end of 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 25%
Improved defense infrastructure • 25%
Both presence and infrastructure • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Reports from the Danish government or credible military analysis publications
Story
France Considers Greenland Troop Deployment Amid U.S. Threats, Awaiting Denmark's Request
Jan 28, 2025, 02:58 PM
France has engaged in discussions with Denmark about the possibility of deploying French troops to Greenland in response to repeated threats by U.S. President Donald Trump to annex the Danish territory. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot stated that France is open to sending troops if Denmark requests it, emphasizing that the borders of the European Union are non-negotiable. However, Denmark has not expressed a desire to pursue this plan. Barrot also noted that the U.S. is unlikely to invade Greenland, and no one has an interest in entering into conflict with the EU. This comes as Denmark plans to strengthen its military presence in the Arctic region with a €2 billion investment, following Trump's persistent interest in acquiring Greenland.
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No significant deployment • 25%
Partial deployment of planned assets • 25%
Full deployment of planned assets • 25%
Deployment delayed beyond 2026 • 25%
All projects completed • 25%
No projects completed • 25%
Few projects completed • 25%
Most projects completed • 25%
Increased own military presence • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Multidisciplinary approach • 25%
Naval capabilities • 25%
Aerial surveillance • 25%
Satellite monitoring • 25%
Drone Acquisition • 25%
Patrol Vessels • 25%
Satellite Capacity • 25%
Training in Greenland • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Agreement rejected • 25%
No official response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Security Concerns • 25%
Resource Exploration • 25%
International Pressure • 25%
Territorial Control • 25%
Decreased • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
Increased moderately • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%