Market
What will be the outcome of Congress's actions regarding Trump's eligibility by January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump blocked • 25%
Trump not blocked • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official congressional records and announcements
Story
The Hill Suggests Congress Block Trump from Taking Office on January 20, 2025, Citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment
Dec 26, 2024, 06:10 PM
An opinion piece published by The Hill has sparked controversy by suggesting that Congress has the authority to block Donald Trump from taking office, citing Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. The article argues that Trump, having been impeached and associated with the January 6 events, should be considered ineligible for the presidency. Legal scholars, including former editors of prestigious law journals, have endorsed this view, claiming that Congress must act swiftly to prevent Trump from being sworn in on January 20, 2025. The piece has drawn criticism from various political commentators, who accuse The Hill of inciting insurrection and undermining the electoral process. Some have called for accountability for those advocating such measures, while others argue that the notion of blocking a duly elected president contradicts democratic principles.
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Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Action taken but unsuccessful • 25%
Action taken and successful • 25%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
Blocked from office • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
Members jailed • 25%
Members fined • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Pending decision • 25%
Challenge dismissed • 25%
Challenge upheld • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Certified after objections • 33%
Certified without objection • 33%
Not certified • 33%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
