Market
What will be the outcome of ByteDance's effort to sell TikTok by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to MrBeast • 25%
Sold to another buyer • 25%
Not sold, banned • 25%
Not sold, not banned • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, MrBeast, or the U.S. government
Story
MrBeast Eyes TikTok Purchase to Prevent U.S. Ban by ByteDance's January 19 Deadline
Jan 15, 2025, 05:52 PM
YouTube star MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson and boasts over 340 million subscribers, has expressed interest in purchasing TikTok to prevent its potential ban in the United States. The ban, set to take effect on January 19, 2025, stems from legislation signed by President Joe Biden in April 2024, which requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to sell the platform or face a nationwide ban. MrBeast initially made a light-hearted comment on X about buying TikTok, but later confirmed that he had been contacted by several billionaires interested in the acquisition. Despite the discussions, no official deal has been confirmed, and ByteDance has not commented on MrBeast's intentions. The situation arises amid national security concerns regarding TikTok's data privacy and potential ties to the Chinese government, affecting its 170 million American users.
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Extension granted • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Sold to a non-U.S., non-Chinese company • 25%
No sale completed, TikTok banned • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Non-US entity • 25%
No sale announced • 25%
US-based tech company • 25%
Private equity firm • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Extension granted • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Divestiture completed • 25%
Legal challenge delaying divestiture • 25%
No divestiture • 25%
Divestiture announced but not completed • 25%
Negotiations Extended • 25%
Acquisition Unsuccessful • 25%
Acquisition Successful • 25%
Deal Canceled • 25%