Market
What will be the outcome of Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket maiden flight by January 10, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Official announcements from Blue Origin or Cape Canaveral Space Force Station
Story
Blue Origin's 98-Meter New Glenn Rocket Set for Uncrewed Maiden Flight from Cape Canaveral on January 8
Jan 5, 2025, 11:40 AM
Blue Origin, founded by Jeff Bezos, is set to launch its New Glenn rocket for the first time, aiming to challenge SpaceX's dominance in the space industry. The rocket, standing at approximately 98 meters tall, is scheduled to lift off from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. This maiden flight, which will be uncrewed, is a significant step for Blue Origin as it seeks to enter the market for launching heavy commercial and military satellites, as well as missions to the Moon and Mars. The New Glenn rocket is designed to be partially reusable, with plans to recover and reuse its first-stage booster, similar to SpaceX's approach. The launch window for this inaugural flight is set for January 8, with a backup date on January 10.
View original story
Similar markets
Failed orbit, successful booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit and booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit and booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit, failed booster landing • 25%
Successful launch and booster landing • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch, failed booster landing • 25%
Successful launch and orbit • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Further delay • 25%
Successful launch, failed orbit • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch postponed • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Successful flight but failed landing • 25%
Successful flight and landing • 25%
Successful orbit, failed booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit, successful booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit and booster landing • 25%
Successful orbit and booster landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful launch and recovery • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Failure to reach orbit • 25%
Launch aborted • 25%
Successful launch, failed recovery • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Unsuccessful launch • 25%
Successful launch, unsuccessful recovery • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%