Market
What will be the outcome of Belarus's deployment of Russia's Oreshnik missile system by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased regional tensions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
International relations reports, official statements from involved countries, and analysis by reputable think tanks
Story
Lukashenko Announces Deployment of Russia's Hypersonic Oreshnik Missile System Near Smolensk in Belarus
Jan 26, 2025, 12:22 PM
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko has announced that Russia's Oreshnik missile system, an intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) system, will be deployed in Belarus 'any day now.' The system, described as a hypersonic missile complex, is expected to be positioned near the Russian city of Smolensk, close to the Belarusian border and potentially near the Ukrainian border. Lukashenko's statement indicates a strategic move to enhance Belarus's defense capabilities, potentially in response to regional security dynamics.
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Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military response or exercises • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
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