Market
What will be the outcome of 2025 French budget negotiations with RN influence by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full agreement with RN demands • 25%
Partial concessions to RN • 25%
No concessions to RN • 25%
Budget not passed • 25%
Official French government budget publications and news reports
Story
French PM Barnier Concedes to RN, Agrees to Maintain Medication Reimbursements in 2025 Budget
Dec 2, 2024, 12:14 PM
In a significant political maneuver, French Prime Minister Michel Barnier has agreed to abandon plans to reduce medication reimbursements in 2025. This decision follows a phone conversation with Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally (RN) party, on Monday morning. The move is seen as a concession to the RN, which had previously expressed strong opposition to any reduction in medication reimbursements. The French government's commitment was announced in a statement from Matignon, indicating that the policy shift was a direct result of the discussion between Barnier and Le Pen. This latest concession comes amidst ongoing 2025 budget negotiations and a looming threat of censure.
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Majority support (50-60% approval) • 25%
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