Market
How will political alliances in France shift due to RN's influence in budget negotiations by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
No significant alliance changes • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
Political analysis reports and party announcements
Story
French PM Barnier Concedes to RN, Agrees to Maintain Medication Reimbursements in 2025 Budget
Dec 2, 2024, 12:14 PM
In a significant political maneuver, French Prime Minister Michel Barnier has agreed to abandon plans to reduce medication reimbursements in 2025. This decision follows a phone conversation with Marine Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Rally (RN) party, on Monday morning. The move is seen as a concession to the RN, which had previously expressed strong opposition to any reduction in medication reimbursements. The French government's commitment was announced in a statement from Matignon, indicating that the policy shift was a direct result of the discussion between Barnier and Le Pen. This latest concession comes amidst ongoing 2025 budget negotiations and a looming threat of censure.
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Similar markets
Organize protests • 25%
File another motion of censure • 25%
No major action • 25%
Call for early elections • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Increased significantly • 25%
Decreased significantly • 25%
Remained the same • 25%
No significant action from any party • 25%
Socialist Party calls for further protests • 25%
La France Insoumise initiates further legal action • 25%
Ecologist group proposes alternative budget • 25%
Budget delayed • 25%
Budget passed without major changes • 25%
Budget passed with major changes • 25%
Budget rejected • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More Moderate • 25%
More Nationalist • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Les Républicains • 25%
La République En Marche! • 25%
Democratic Movement (MoDem) • 25%
Maintain seats • 25%
Increase seats • 25%
Lose seats • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant changes • 25%
PS joins coalition • 25%
Other parties join coalition • 25%
PS remains in opposition • 25%