Market
What will be the official conclusion of the investigation into the Magdeburg attack by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Security protocol failure • 25%
Ignored warnings • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Official investigation reports or announcements from German authorities
Story
Saudi Arabia Condemns Magdeburg Christmas Market Attack, 11 Dead, 200 Injured; Warned Germany About Attacker Taleb Al-Abdulmohsen
Dec 21, 2024, 01:55 PM
Saudi Arabia has condemned the attack at a Christmas market in Magdeburg, Germany, which resulted in the deaths of 11 individuals and injuries to over 200. The Saudi Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement expressing condolences to the victims and their families. Reports indicate that Saudi Arabia had previously warned German authorities about the attacker, Taleb Al-Abdulmohsen, who had posted extremist views online. According to sources, Saudi Arabia sent three warnings to Germany regarding the suspect's dangerous intentions, but these were reportedly ignored by German officials. A Saudi national had also alerted German police months prior to the incident, indicating that the attacker was planning to run people over with his vehicle. The attack has raised questions about the effectiveness of Germany's security measures and its response to international warnings.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other • 25%
No significant lapses found • 25%
Procedural recommendations issued • 25%
Significant security lapses identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Task Force • 25%
State Police • 25%
Federal Police • 25%
No lapses identified • 25%
Significant lapses identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Minor lapses identified • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lone wolf terrorist act • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Non-terror related • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Terrorism • 25%
Manslaughter • 25%
Other • 25%
Murder • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Legislative changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
IDF operational failures identified • 25%
Intelligence failures identified • 25%
Both operational and intelligence failures identified • 25%
No major failures identified • 25%
1-2 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
None • 25%