Market
Outcome of legal cases against J6 committee members by Jan 20, 2025
3
Joe Biden•Trump•Bennie Thompson•Biden•Donald Trump•Democratic•Richard Blumenthal•CNN•Liz Cheney•Adam Schiff•Anthony Fauci
Resolution / Starting Odds
Charges dropped • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Court rulings or official legal documentation
Story
Biden Considers Preemptive Pardons for J6 Committee Amid Trump's Threats, Blumenthal Opposes
Dec 12, 2024, 09:30 PM
President Joe Biden is reportedly considering issuing preemptive pardons to several high-profile figures, including members of the January 6 committee, amid concerns they might face legal repercussions under the incoming Trump administration. Rep. Bennie Thompson, the former chair of the committee, has indicated he would accept such a pardon, emphasizing that it would be President Biden's prerogative. This move comes in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's comments suggesting that members of the committee should be jailed. Democratic Senator Richard Blumenthal has voiced strong opposition to these preemptive pardons on CNN, arguing they could be perceived as an implicit acknowledgment of guilt and that the legal system should be trusted to handle any potential charges. He believes that any unfounded charges would ultimately cause a backlash against Trump, and he would offer pro bono legal counsel to those accused, making these cases a test case for the principle of justice. The potential recipients of these pardons include notable figures like Liz Cheney, Adam Schiff, and Anthony Fauci, highlighting the political tensions and the use of presidential pardons as a protective measure against perceived political vendettas.
View original story
Similar markets
Prosecutions initiated • 25%
No prosecutions • 25%
Prosecutions dropped • 25%
Prosecutions with convictions • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Some participants pardoned • 25%
Most participants pardoned • 25%
Few or no participants pardoned • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
Convictions or penalties • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
No legal actions initiated • 25%
Sentences increased • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Sentences reduced • 25%
Sentences upheld • 25%
Legal actions proceed • 33%
Legal actions dismissed • 33%
Settlements reached • 34%
Settlement reached • 25%
Verdict for defendants • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Verdict for DOJ • 25%
Convicted of terrorism-related charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of reckless driving • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
Convictions upheld • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Members fined • 25%
Members jailed • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Majority upheld • 25%
All overturned • 25%
Majority overturned • 25%