Market
What will be the key reasons cited for or against Pete Hegseth's confirmation by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Allegations of misconduct • 25%
Financial mismanagement concerns • 25%
Lack of experience • 25%
Support from key Senators • 25%
Statements from Senators or major news outlets such as CNN, The New York Times, or The Washington Post
Story
After Initial Uncertainty, Key Senator Ernst Backs Hegseth for Defense Secretary
Jan 14, 2025, 11:57 PM
Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa announced she will vote to confirm Pete Hegseth, President Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, a move that significantly increases the likelihood of his confirmation. Ernst, a Republican, combat veteran, and key vote, initially expressed uncertainty but stated that Hegseth 'was adequately able to answer my questions.' She added, 'After our conversations, hearing from Iowans, and doing my job as a United States Senator, I will support President Trump's pick for Secretary of Defense.' Ernst secured key commitments from Hegseth during his confirmation hearing, where he faced scrutiny over allegations of sexual misconduct, alcohol abuse, and financial mismanagement. With Ernst's support, Hegseth is now on a path toward confirmation by the Republican-controlled Senate.
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Partisan politics • 25%
Past allegations of misconduct • 25%
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Opposition to policy positions • 25%
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Delayed • 25%
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Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 33%
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Confirmed • 33%
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Postponed • 25%
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Minimal Attention • 25%
Predominantly Positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Predominantly Negative • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Alleged misconduct • 25%
Lack of qualifications • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
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Divided • 25%
Neutral • 25%
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Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
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Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Hearing Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31 • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%