Market
What will be the outcome of Pete Hegseth's confirmation hearing by February 28, 2025?
5
Iowa•Joni Ernst•Pete Hegseth•Donald Trump•Ernst•Hegseth•Senate Armed Services Committee•Armed Services Committee•Iowans•Trump•the Pentagon•Republican•Senate•GOP
Resolution / Starting Odds
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Official U.S. Senate announcements or credible news reports
Story
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, a Sexual Assault Survivor and Combat Veteran, Backs Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary
Jan 15, 2025, 12:25 AM
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, a sexual assault survivor and combat veteran, has announced her support for Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense. Ernst's decision follows Hegseth's confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee, where he addressed concerns regarding his past comments on women in combat roles and allegations of sexual misconduct. Ernst, a member of the Armed Services Committee, stated that after conversations with Hegseth and feedback from Iowans, she will back Trump's choice. She emphasized her commitment to work with Hegseth to enhance the military's lethality, ensure an audit of the Pentagon by 2028, maintain high standards for women in combat, and appoint a senior official to tackle sexual assault within the military ranks. Ernst's endorsement significantly boosts Hegseth's chances of confirmation, as the Republican-led Senate holds 53 seats, and no GOP senators have publicly opposed his nomination.
View original story
Similar markets
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Withdrawn • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Withdrawn • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Delayed beyond timeframe • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Hearing Postponed • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 34%
Confirmed with some GOP dissent • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 33%
Rejected with majority • 33%
Confirmed with all GOP support • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Confirmed without conditions • 25%
Confirmed with conditions • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with conditions • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed without conditions • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Confirmed without VP tiebreaker • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with VP tiebreaker • 25%
Not Confirmed • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed • 33%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Vote delayed beyond March 31 • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with tie-breaking vote • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed without VP vote • 25%
Confirmed with VP vote • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%