Market
What will be the international response to Ukraine ending Russian gas transit by 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strong condemnation of Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the EU, NATO, and the UN
Story
Ukraine Faces Missile Strike Threat on 38,600 km Gas Network If Russian Gas Transit Ends, Zelenskyy Committed to Termination
Dec 28, 2024, 09:45 AM
Ukraine faces a potential threat of missile strikes on its extensive gas transportation system if it decides to halt the transit of Russian gas, according to recent reports. The country operates one of the world's largest gas networks, spanning approximately 38,600 kilometers. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has indicated a commitment to ending Russian gas transit after the current agreement concludes. Experts warn that this decision could provoke Russia to target Ukraine's gas storage facilities and power supplies, raising concerns about the safety of the gas pipeline network, which has remained largely unscathed for the past three years due to the ongoing transit of Russian gas.
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No significant action • 25%
Impose sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Increase LNG imports • 25%
Negotiate a new transit deal • 25%
Other • 25%
Implement alternative gas routes • 25%
Increase renewable energy investments • 25%
Negotiate with Russia for new terms • 25%
Decrease by less than 10% • 25%
Decrease by over 20% • 25%
Decrease by 10-20% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Minor price increase • 25%
Significant price increase • 25%
Price decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Temporary extension • 25%
Agreement extended • 25%
Agreement terminated • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Slovakia • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
Moldova • 25%
Minimal economic impact • 25%
Moderate economic impact • 25%
Significant economic impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
EU mediation leads to resolution • 25%
Bilateral agreement reached • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Slovakia cuts power • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
EU brokers a new deal • 25%
Ukraine renews contract • 25%
