Market
What will be the international response to Turkey's military buildup near Kobani by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN condemns Turkey's actions • 25%
NATO issues a formal statement • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other significant international action • 25%
Official statements from international bodies or governments reported by major news agencies
Story
Turkey Masses Troops Near Kobani, Raising Fears of Imminent Incursion into Kurdish Territory
Dec 17, 2024, 06:52 AM
Turkey and its allied militias are reportedly amassing forces along the border with Syria, including near the city of Kobani, raising concerns among senior U.S. officials that Ankara is preparing for an imminent large-scale incursion into territory held by U.S.-backed Syrian Kurds. The Wall Street Journal cited U.S. officials expressing alarm over the potential operation. Turkish forces, including commandos and artillery, have been observed near Kobani (also known as Ayn al-Arab). Kurdish officials have expressed concern and urged for international intervention to prevent the potential offensive.
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Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Sanctions on Turkey • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions on Turkey • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
General support • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Limited military action • 25%
Full-scale incursion • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Condemnation only • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Calls for diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support from NATO • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Other response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Türkiye's actions • 25%
Calls for further negotiations • 25%
Condemnation by international bodies • 25%
No significant response • 25%