Market
What will be the international response to Israeli military action in Gaza by January 25, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Hamas•Gaza•Trump•Middle East•Israeli Defense•Israel Katz•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•American•Washington
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from major international bodies like the UN, EU, or NATO, and credible international news agencies
Story
Trump Warns Hamas of Dire Consequences If 96 Hostages Not Released by Jan. 20; IDF Prepares for Action
Jan 10, 2025, 08:47 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has issued a stern warning to Hamas, stating that 'all hell will break out' if the group does not release the 96 hostages it holds in Gaza before his inauguration on January 20. Trump's comments were made during a news conference, emphasizing that failure to secure a hostage release deal by the Jan. 20 deadline would lead to severe consequences for Hamas and potentially destabilize the Middle East. In response to Trump's ultimatum, Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has instructed the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to prepare a military plan for the 'complete defeat' of Hamas in Gaza if no hostage deal is reached by the time Trump takes office. Additionally, relatives of the seven American hostages held by Hamas have announced their intention to attend Trump's inauguration, hoping to leverage the event to press for the release of their loved ones. The families are also scheduled to meet with officials from the incoming Trump administration during their stay in Washington.
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Similar markets
Support for Israeli actions • 25%
Other response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Support from major powers • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General support • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No formal condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by US • 25%
Increased sanctions on Gaza • 25%
Increased aid to Gaza • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support • 25%
No response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Increased aid to Palestine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%