Market
What will be the international response to the arrest warrant for President Yoon by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation from major countries • 25%
Support from major countries • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Statements from foreign governments or international organizations
Story
South Korean Court Reissues Arrest Warrant for Impeached President Yoon Over Martial Law Bid
Jan 7, 2025, 10:21 AM
South Korea's anti-corruption agency has requested the police to take over efforts to detain impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol, following a failed attempt to arrest him last week due to a standoff with the presidential security service. Investigators are seeking an extension of the arrest warrant, which was due to expire on Monday. On Tuesday, a South Korean court reissued the arrest warrant for President Yoon over his attempted imposition of martial law, extending its validity. The validity period of the new warrant has not been disclosed. The anti-corruption agency plans to coordinate with the police for a renewed attempt to detain the embattled leader, who remains at his Seoul residence.
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Decision Delayed • 34%
Warrant Denied • 33%
Warrant Granted • 33%
Other • 25%
UN Sanctions Imposed • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Arrest executed with PSS interference • 25%
Arrest not executed by deadline • 25%
Arrest warrant invalidated • 25%
Arrest executed without incident • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation from major countries • 25%
Support from major countries • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
General public indifference • 25%
Mixed reactions with no major protests • 25%
Major protests against Yoon • 25%
Major protests in support of Yoon • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Majority oppose the warrant • 25%
Majority support the warrant • 25%
No arrests and no resignation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Arrest of Yoon and officials • 25%
No arrests but resignation • 25%
President Yoon arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon not arrested, but investigation continues • 25%
Resolution overturned • 25%