Market
What will be the international response to Oscar Jenkins' execution by June 30, 2025?
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Australian•Oscar Jenkins•Melbourne•Russian•Ukraine•Jenkins•Ukrainian•Anthony Albanese•Australia•Russia•Penny Wong
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by both UN and EU • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international organizations or governments reported by reputable news sources
Story
Australia Conducts Urgent Inquiries Into Execution of 32-Year-Old Melbourne Teacher and First Australian POW, Oscar Jenkins, by Russian Forces
Jan 14, 2025, 11:30 PM
The Australian government is conducting urgent inquiries following reports that Oscar Jenkins, a 32-year-old Melbourne teacher and volunteer fighter with no prior military experience, was executed by Russian forces after being captured in Ukraine. Jenkins, who had been fighting with Ukrainian forces, is believed to be the first Australian held as a prisoner of war by Russian forces in Ukraine. The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) has expressed grave concerns for Jenkins' welfare and has summoned the Russian ambassador to seek clarification on his status. Reports suggest that Jenkins' body has been found, though these claims remain unverified. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has stated that if the reports of Jenkins' harm are confirmed, Australia will take the strongest possible action against Russia. Foreign Minister Penny Wong has indicated that all options, including the expulsion of Russia's ambassador, are under consideration. Jenkins' reported execution has sparked significant concern and calls for action from both the government and opposition.
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Similar markets
UN condemnation • 25%
Joint diplomatic actions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other reactions • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
Sanctions or diplomatic actions against Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Sanctions by Australia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Additional sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Expulsion of Russian ambassador • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No response • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No Reaction • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure on Indonesia • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
International organizations intervene • 25%
Other international actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Confirmed torture • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
No confirmed mistreatment • 25%
Confirmed execution • 25%
Released through diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Released through prisoner exchange • 25%
Remains in custody • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Minimal international reaction • 25%
Widespread international criticism • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%