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What will be the international response to Oscar Jenkins' capture by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation from UN • 25%
Sanctions by Australia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international organizations or governments, news reports
Story
Russian Forces Capture 32-Year-Old Australian Teacher Oscar Jenkins, First Time in Ukraine
Dec 22, 2024, 11:24 AM
Russian forces have captured Oscar Jenkins, a 32-year-old Australian teacher, marking the first instance of an Australian mercenary being taken alive since the onset of the Special Military Operation. Jenkins was reportedly apprehended in Ukraine, and videos circulating among Russian military bloggers show him speaking in English and identifying himself as a teacher. The situation has drawn attention due to the unusual nature of Jenkins' capture, as he appears to be unaware of the gravity of his situation, as indicated by his remarks during the video.
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Other reactions • 25%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Sanctions or diplomatic actions against Russia • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
Joint diplomatic actions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation by both UN and EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation and diplomatic actions • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Expulsion of Russian ambassador • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Additional sanctions • 25%
Remains in custody • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Released through prisoner exchange • 25%
Released through diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Limited condemnation • 25%
Support for Maduro • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Trump's stance • 25%
Confirmed execution • 25%
Confirmed torture • 25%
No confirmed mistreatment • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%