Market
What will be the impact on U.S. climate policy by the end of 2025 following withdrawal from the Paris Agreement?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased fossil fuel production • 25%
Increased renewable energy investment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New climate initiatives • 25%
Official U.S. government climate policy announcements or legislative changes
Story
Trump to Sign Executive Orders Today to Withdraw U.S. from Paris Climate Agreement
Jan 20, 2025, 05:03 PM
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump is expected to sign executive orders that will initiate the withdrawal of the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement. This decision has been confirmed by an incoming administration official and is supported by a White House document obtained by Punchbowl News. The move is part of Trump's broader agenda to roll back climate policies, which he has characterized as part of a 'climate hoax'.
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Increase by 0-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by over 10% • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
Support for U.S. decision • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No Change • 25%
New incentives for renewable energy • 25%
Repeal of emission standards • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Expansion of fossil fuel production • 25%
