Market
How will U.S. greenhouse gas emissions change by end of 2025 post-Paris Accord exit?
2
Donald Trump•United States•Paris Climate Accord•White House•Punchbowl News•Paris Agreement•Paris•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by over 10% • 25%
Increase by 0-10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) reports or other reputable environmental studies
Story
Trump Announces U.S. Will Again Withdraw from Paris Climate Accord
Jan 20, 2025, 05:39 PM
President Donald Trump has announced that the United States will withdraw from the Paris Climate Accord, according to a White House document obtained by Punchbowl News. The decision, unveiled on his inauguration day, marks the second time the U.S. has exited the international agreement aimed at combating climate change. The Paris Agreement, adopted by 196 parties in 2015 at the COP21 conference in Paris, is a legally binding treaty that seeks to limit global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius. Trump's move reverses previous U.S. commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and comes after the hottest year on record.
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Similar markets
New climate initiatives • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased renewable energy investment • 25%
Increased fossil fuel production • 25%
No Change • 25%
Significant Increase • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Moderate Increase • 25%
Expansion of fossil fuel production • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Repeal of emission standards • 25%
New incentives for renewable energy • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority support withdrawal • 25%
No significant opinion change • 25%
Public opinion is divided • 25%
Majority oppose withdrawal • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
No official response • 25%
Calls for renegotiation • 25%
