Market
What will be the impact on Amazon's Q1 2025 revenue due to the strike?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No impact • 25%
Minor impact (less than 5% decrease) • 25%
Moderate impact (5-10% decrease) • 25%
Major impact (more than 10% decrease) • 25%
Amazon's quarterly financial report or major financial news outlets
Story
Teamsters Lead Largest Amazon Strike at U.S. Facilities Starting Thursday
Dec 19, 2024, 08:15 PM
Beginning on Thursday, Amazon workers, including delivery drivers, at multiple facilities across the United States have launched a strike during the busy holiday season. Led by the Teamsters union, which calls this the largest strike against Amazon in U.S. history, the workers are demanding union recognition and improved working conditions after the company's refusal to bargain. The strike affects seven Amazon facilities in cities including New York City, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Chicago. Despite the strike involving thousands of workers—some reports citing nearly 10,000—the company claims that holiday deliveries will not be impacted.
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Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Remains within 5% of current price • 25%
Decreases by more than 5% • 25%
Increases by more than 5% • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Unchanged • 25%
Decrease by more than 5% • 25%
Increase by more than 5% • 25%
Fluctuate within 5% • 25%
Profits decrease by more than 20% • 25%
Profits increase • 25%
Profits decrease by 10-20% • 25%
Profits decrease by less than 10% • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Declined perception • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Improved perception • 25%
Unchanged perception • 25%
Strike ends with a negotiated contract • 25%
Strike continues beyond April 30, 2025 • 25%
Strike ends without a negotiated contract • 25%
Other • 25%
Union recognition • 25%
Improved working conditions • 25%
Workers receive better pay • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Wage increase without union recognition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No concessions made by Amazon • 25%
Union recognition granted • 25%
Amazon concedes to some demands • 25%
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Prolonged strike with ongoing negotiations • 25%
Strike ends without concessions • 25%
Mediation or arbitration • 25%
Strike continues • 25%
Strike ends without agreement • 25%
Strike ends with agreement • 25%